Listen

All Episodes

Audio playback

Inside NVIDIA's Blockbuster Q1 2026

NVIDIA posts a record-breaking quarter, fueled by AI and gaming growth, but faces headwinds from export restrictions and rising costs. Ray and Mark break down the numbers and the impact of regulatory changes for investors.

This show was created with Jellypod, the AI Podcast Studio. Create your own podcast with Jellypod today.

Is this your podcast and want to remove this banner? Click here.


Chapter 1

Earnings Surge and Market Drivers

Ray Marce

You know what’s absolutely wild? NVIDIA just posted a 69% jump in revenue year over year for Q1, hitting a massive forty-four point one billion dollars. I mean, that’s some serious growth.

Mark Dalli

Absolutely. And the real story here is the seventy-three percent growth in Data Center revenue. That’s driven largely by demand for AI workloads and their accelerated computing platform, particularly on the back of the Blackwell architecture. It’s really changing the game for how companies approach large-scale AI and data analytics.

Ray Marce

Right, and, honestly, this is something I’ve been keeping an eye on for years. Back when NVIDIA started shifting focus to AI chips, I remember looking at it during a late-night portfolio review and thinking—this is gonna be big. Like, transformative big. And now, with Blackwell pacing this growth, it feels like that thesis is really playing out.

Mark Dalli

That’s a great instinct, Ray. Blackwell's rollout has been the fastest ramp for NVIDIA in its history. It’s not just the design—it’s the entire ecosystem. From processors to software to interconnects, they’ve crafted a platform capable of tackling massive AI models, recommendation engines, and even agentic AI applications. That’s where the long-term demand is pulling from.

Ray Marce

Yeah, and what’s crazy is how important AI has become not just for tech behemoths but smaller firms too. We’re seeing a whole range of companies jump onto this—big cloud services, consumer internet giants, everyone. And apparently, about half the Data Center revenue still comes from the largest cloud guys, right?

Mark Dalli

Correct. Just under fifty percent is tied to the major cloud providers. But something worth noting is the diversity within this revenue. Networking, for example, grew fifty-six percent year-on-year and sixty-four percent sequentially. That’s thanks to solutions like NVLink compute fabric gaining traction. It shows how NVIDIA isn’t just riding AI trends—they're really shaping the infrastructure of the industry itself.

Ray Marce

It’s like they’ve taken every piece of the puzzle and just decided to own it. And this strength in Data Center wasn’t the only bright spot. Their Gaming segment also hit an all-time high, up forty-two percent year over year. That’s massive. Do you think Blackwell had something to do with that too?

Mark Dalli

It absolutely did. Blackwell’s impact isn’t confined to AI alone—it’s such a versatile architecture. The ramp in Gaming was, by far, the fastest in their history. And let’s not forget, gaming remains a core market for them. It’s essentially the backbone of NVIDIA’s brand, even with all this buzz around AI.

Ray Marce

Exactly. It’s fascinating how they’ve managed to not just stay relevant but dominate in multiple markets simultaneously. Anyway, the way the Data Center segment is scaling is just phenomenal. But we have to talk about some of the challenges they’re facing—

Chapter 2

Export Restrictions and Inventory Challenges

Mark Dalli

You’re absolutely right, Ray. Speaking of challenges, one of the key hurdles they faced this quarter was the U.S. export restrictions on H20 products. Let’s dive into how that’s impacting their performance.

Ray Marce

Oh, yeah, that was a massive blow. I mean, a $4.5 billion charge on excess inventory and purchase obligations is hard to ignore. And on top of that, they missed out on $2.5 billion in revenue just because they couldn’t ship to China.

Mark Dalli

And you know, this kind of regulatory move isn’t unprecedented. Think back to Huawei getting hit with sanctions a few years ago. It practically reshaped their entire business strategy. Or even ASML—they've faced escalating restrictions on exporting EUV lithography equipment to China.

Ray Marce

Yeah, and NVIDIA isn’t exactly playing in a vacuum here, right? These geopolitical moves are starting to have ripple effects on the tech sector as a whole. But for NVIDIA, this is especially tricky, given how significant the China market is for AI hardware. It’s not like you can just flip that demand back into another market overnight.

Mark Dalli

Exactly, especially since the H20 was largely designed with China in mind. Now, they’ve said some materials were reusable, which softened the financial blow, but it’s still a major setback. The question here is—does NVIDIA shift their production strategy or maybe pivot future product designs to reduce this kind of exposure?

Ray Marce

Right. I mean, they’ve already shown resilience in reallocating materials, but, moving forward, they’ll need to be proactive about mitigating this kind of geopolitical risk. You can’t build a powerhouse by, you know, constantly putting out fires like this.

Mark Dalli

No, you can’t. And beyond just production, there’s also the broader risk to earnings. The AI boom is giving them this huge growth, but if access to key markets gets restricted, it could—

Chapter 3

Profitability, Cash Flow, and the Road Ahead

Ray Marce

You’re absolutely right, Mark—restricted access to key markets could pose a real earnings risk. But here’s the thing: even with that four point five billion dollar charge this quarter, NVIDIA delivered a non-GAAP gross margin of seventy-one point three percent. That’s just—wow. If you put aside the H20 hiccup, they’re still performing like a well-oiled machine.

Mark Dalli

It’s rather impressive. And those margins are a direct reflection of how their product mix is evolving, especially with the higher demand for AI and Data Center solutions. But, here’s the thing—their operating expenses increased forty-four percent year over year. That’s not insignificant.

Ray Marce

Yeah, but, I mean, isn’t most of that driven by hiring and R? I feel like they’re, you know, investing heavily in the future, not just patching holes in the present. When you’ve got this kind of revenue momentum, isn’t that the play?

Mark Dalli

It can be. They’re clearly positioning themselves for long-term growth. But, you know, it’s always a fine balance. R is critical, yes, especially in an industry moving as quickly as AI and computing, but investors are always watching how efficiently that translates to the bottom line. And looking at their liquidity—it’s remarkable. Fifty-three point seven billion dollars in cash equivalents, up significantly from last year.

Ray Marce

And let’s not forget, they’re sharing the wealth. Fourteen point three billion dollars returned to shareholders this quarter through buybacks and dividends. That’s—well, that’s massive. It’s the kind of move that gets investors, you know, really pumped about the future.

Mark Dalli

It does. And when you compare that to peers like Apple or Microsoft, NVIDIA is really stepping up with those returns. But it’s also a reflection of their confidence, isn’t it? They’re sending a clear message—they have the financial strength to invest in innovation while rewarding shareholders.

Ray Marce

Exactly. It’s that balance of being forward-thinking while keeping investors happy now. And, honestly, that seems to be the theme for NVIDIA lately. Navigating challenges like export restrictions, all while breaking records in gaming and Data Center. I mean, you gotta admire their ability to pivot and still come out ahead.

Mark Dalli

Absolutely. It’s a masterclass in leveraging innovation to drive growth. But, as impressive as their results are, the real test will be how they sustain this momentum in an environment that’s evolving as rapidly as the technology itself.

Ray Marce

And on that note, we’ll leave it there for today. NVIDIA’s Q1 performance has been nothing short of extraordinary, and their ability to adapt in a tough market is a testament to their leadership. Thanks for tuning in, and we’ll catch you next time.